China’s Oct 2023 aluminium output flaunts a 3.4% rise M-o-M; SMM projects a drop in November with production cut in Yunnan
2023年11月13日 20:50:11
铝云汇
According to the Shanghai Metals Market survey, China’s aluminium production in October 2023 (31 calendar days) amounted to 3.641 million tonnes, flaunting a month-on-month rise of 3.35 per cent from 3.523 million tonnes. On a year-on-year calculation, the output stood 6.7 per cent higher than 3.42 million tonnes. The cumulative production during January-October 2023 stood at 34.458 million tonnes, up 3.5 per cent from a prior year.
The average daily output in October’23 was slightly higher at 117,500 tonnes compared to 117,400 tonnes a month ago.
However, in October, there was a decrease in production among primary aluminium processing producers such as aluminium billet, while the proportion of aluminium ingot production increased, reducing the industry’s average molten aluminium share by 2.9 per cent to 70.33 per cent.
Aluminium ingot production rose 5 per cent year-on-year in October, but the total output from January to October decreased 10.5 per cent, totalling 10.21 million tonnes.
SMM survey indicated that China’s aluminium production capacity remained steady in October 2023, with a slight increase in Sichuan. In Qinghai, 10,000 tonnes of aluminium capacity was under routine maintenance, and the new capacity of Inner Mongolia Baiyinhua came into operation only in late October. Thus, currently, China’s aluminium installed capacity is around 45.19 million tonnes, and the operating capacity is about 42.99 million tonnes.
In early November, aluminium smelters in Yunnan began reducing production due to limited hydropower supply during the dry season, starting from November to April. According to SMM, Yunnan will see a capacity cut of around 1.5 million tonnes. No major cuts are expected elsewhere in November.
SMM forecasts total aluminium processing to reach nearly 41.98 million tonnes by November-end, while the production to amount to 3.45 million tonnes, up 3.4 per cent Y-o-Y but down by 5.25 per cent M-o-M.
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